Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.189615 0.213767 0.239246 0.268071 0.299719 0.333349 0.371731
2025-06-01 0.156105 0.188463 0.224498 0.267406 0.316904 0.372003 0.437760
2025-06-08 0.131685 0.168867 0.212272 0.266266 0.331185 0.406263 0.499160
2025-06-15 0.116372 0.157452 0.207436 0.272011 0.352436 0.448471 0.570903
2025-06-22 0.101634 0.144664 0.199094 0.271907 0.365544 0.480613 0.631248
2025-06-29 0.089547 0.133686 0.191577 0.271542 0.377407 0.510892 0.689789
2025-07-06 0.079477 0.124149 0.184771 0.271039 0.388334 0.539728 0.746958
2025-07-13 0.072301 0.117769 0.181430 0.274498 0.404098 0.574877 0.813029
2025-07-20 0.067307 0.113940 0.181120 0.281754 0.424916 0.617062 0.889428
2025-07-27 0.061417 0.108107 0.177328 0.283563 0.437909 0.648821 0.952574
2025-08-03 0.057506 0.104899 0.177016 0.290133 0.457588 0.690077 1.029609
2025-08-10 0.054168 0.102242 0.177226 0.297278 0.478139 0.732968 1.109946
2025-08-17 0.048864 0.095957 0.171536 0.295407 0.485757 0.758432 1.167654
2025-08-24 0.044444 0.090710 0.167039 0.294972 0.495299 0.786778 1.230150
2025-08-31 0.040372 0.085640 0.162391 0.293894 0.503619 0.813410 1.290782
2025-09-07 0.038067 0.083519 0.162430 0.300219 0.523431 0.857390 1.377656
2025-09-14 0.034885 0.079418 0.158759 0.300156 0.533084 0.886360 1.443132
2025-09-21 0.031970 0.075511 0.155093 0.299788 0.542068 0.914404 1.507793
2025-09-28 0.029313 0.071822 0.151505 0.299257 0.550611 0.941849 1.572090
2025-10-05 0.027493 0.069644 0.150479 0.303021 0.566206 0.980500 1.654212
2025-10-12 0.026352 0.068774 0.151792 0.310901 0.588832 1.030661 1.755073
2025-10-19 0.024563 0.066308 0.149887 0.312866 0.601498 1.065354 1.832790
2025-10-26 0.023511 0.065365 0.150832 0.319995 0.623114 1.114780 1.934489